Because I’m sure people who randomly come to the blog aren’t sure what the spreadsheet means I’m going to go to have little breakdown on each.

Edmonton +151 @ Toronto -164

Intro: Edmonton comes into Toronto riding a 3 game winning streak. The teams have identical records in the last 10, both 5-4-1. Toronto comes in with the better record currently sitting in the 8th position in the Eastern conference at 27-19-6, while the Oilers are 13th in the West 21-26-5.

Systems: The basic math model shows a slight advantage to Toronto with the main reason being a better first period differential and slight edges in other statistics including Pp Kill, Shooting % and goals per a game where they hold almost .75 goals per game edge over the visiting team. The newest Neural Network is complete and gives the edge to the Oilers. Looking at everything the Network must take the last ten, a slightly better FO%, a better GAA and a stronger Power Play offense by Edmonton and see that of the training teams fit that criteria came out on top more often than not.

Prediction:Edmonton has been very bad on the road only collecting 6 wins so far this season. That is the main reason I’d predict that Toronto wins. At -164 though this is not a play.

Detroit -135 @ Phoenix +125

Intro: Detroit to no surprise will visit the Coyotes with the most points (72) in the NHL. Phoenix has been struggling as of late going 3-4-3 which of course is completely opposite of the visiting Redwings who have been hot all season, road or home it hasn’t much mattered. Detroit has a better record on the road 15-14-1 than Phoenix does at home 11-10-4.

Systems: The Neural Network gives just above a 1/2 point edge to the home team. Detroit is a very slightly favored by the Math Model.

Prediction: Not exactly a bold prediction here but the Redwings are the pick but again a no play unless the price drops to -125 or better over night which I see no reason why it would.

Calgary +115 @ Anaheim -125

Intro: Both teams have been pretty hot as of late 6-2-2 for the home Ducks and 6-3-1 for the visiting Flames. Seven points seperate the two teams with Calgary ahead. Anaheim is a fairly average team at home 13-13-2 and Calgary isn’t very good when traveling 10-14-2.

Systems: Calgary is a heavy favorite by the NN with almost a 5 goal predicted differential. This margin is in large part because of a 8 goal higher first period differential, a better Goals against average, and the slightest edge in Power play %. While the Ducks hold a very slight edge thanks to a better pentalty kill, shooting %, face off % and goals per a game.

Prediction: Given how large of an edge the NN gives Calgary and close the math model is I’m going to make a 1 unit play on Calgary.

The first NBA predictions will be released shortly.