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Indianapolis Colts: Andrew Luck
The Colts are currently winning the suck for Luck sweepstakes both in real life and according to my power rankings. Luck despite getting some criticism lately in my mind is the best quarterback to enter the draft since current Colt Peyton Manning with the new rookie wage system I don’t see holding onto Luck and Manning as a problem financially question some might have is doing so would limit the chance of giving Manning help now to make a championship push.

St. Louis Rams: Matt Kalil
The Rams blew up their coaching staff but still have a very talented signal caller despite taking a step back in 2011. One of the problems is Bradford has little help and now been through 2 offensive coordinators in as many years. For his and the Rams sake some continuity will go along way as will having a pro bowl type talent at left tackle in Matt Kalil.

Minnesota Vikings: Morris Claibourne
It’s not that I think Claibourne is the 3rd best player in the draft though you could make the argument that he isn’t far away its just he fits what the Vikings need more than any other top player. Don’t be surprised if someone tries to trade up here and get the talented Robert Griffin.

Cleveland Browns: Robbert Griffin III
Now with Griffin entering the draft he I will throw him in here. This pick makes plenty of sense for a team that needs to find a replacement for Colt McCoy and has another 1st round pick so it can continue to build its team.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Justin Blackmon
This year was a disappoint one for a team that had thoughts of playoffs before the season began. Josh Freeman has enough talent to put the quarterback debate aside if no coaching changes and perhaps even if there is one. Blackmon would give him a good target.

Washington Redskins: Dre Kirkpattrick
Washington is one of the teams that are hurt by Barkley and Jones returning to their respective colleges. Kirkpattrick would help boost the Redskins defensive backfield.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Kendall Wright
Jacksonville simply needs some weapons if last years first round selection Blane Gabbert is going to make it. Another option could be Martin to help protect him.

Carolina Panthers: Quentin Couples
Adding another pass rusher in Carolina could go a long way in helping them build their defense up for the future with the offense not having to many huge needs the defense should be targeted first unless a major talent falls.

Miami Dolphins: Jonathan Martin
I’ve read some people who think Martin is the best tackle in the draft while I disagree with the statement he sure isn’t no chump and to me is the 2nd best so throw him on the right side opposite Jake Long and you have a good replacement if injury occurs and if not you have good tackles for Matt Moore or whoever is throwing the rock in Miami.

Buffalo Bills: Reily Reiff
The Bills had a revolving door on the offensive line this season and thankfully for them Ryan Fitzpattrick is very athletic or their sacks given up would have been much higher. Buffalo could opt for a defensive player or wide receiver as well.

Kansas City Chiefs: David DeCastro
Kansas City is in a pretty good spot considering the talent they have coming back from injury in 2012. DeCastro isn’t exactly a huge need but getting him to mold into the future guard can’t hurt can it? The Chiefs will likely attempt to trade down from this position if not they will take the highest player on their board I think that player will be David DeCastro.

Seattle Seahawks: Ryan Tannehill
Seattle is actually in a pretty good spot if they’d like to move up and try to get Robbert Griffen they aren’t to far away or they could sit still take Tannehill or their highest rated player. A front 7 player would be my next choice

Arizona Cardinals: Micheal Floyd
Floyd is a pretty big mover but if you’ve read my notes you know I believe in his talents it’s the red flags that I think may cost him some positioning. Arizona obviously could use an option opposite all pro Larry Fitzgerald. Offensive line and linebacker are the other two top and perhaps even more pressing needs but Floyd’s talents will be too much to pass on.

Dallas Cowboys: Devon Still
Last year it was brought up that the Cowboys really liked Jj Watt but needed the offensive line help that Tyron Smith was brought in. Well even though I like Watt I think they made the right move for them as Smith graded out very well playing right tackle in fact might be moved to left tackle next year. This year they have a chance to get Still who isn’t on Watt’s level in my mind but isn’t very far off.

Philadelphia Eagles: Luke Kuechly
Another team in very good shape entering next year will be the Eagles they obviously have plenty of talent linebacker and offensive line are the main concerns with wide receiver being the next with the likely departure of DeShan Jackson. Kuechly is the top linebacker in my mind but who knows what Andy Reid will do.

New York Jets: Courtney Upshaw
Isn’t this pick supposed to be at least twice as high like in the late 20’s to 30’s? Well it’s not a typo Rex Ryan wrote checks he can’t cash again this year. Upshaw is a great fit for the 3-4 scheme as he played in it at Alabama under Nick Saban.

Cincinnati Bengals from Oakland: Trent Richardson
The Bengals in this scenario would be able to add Richardson who unlike most I don’t think he’s going in the top 5-10. That’s no disrespect to him he is one of the better if not best backs to come into the league since Adrian Peterson. The Bengals may lose Cedric Benson which wouldn’t be a huge loss as last season he averaged only 3.9 yards per carry.

San Diego Chargers: Nick Perry
Perry is ranked 14th on Wes Buntings big board. So this pick is about right even a bit of value and fills a need. The Chargers have elite talent in most areas, linebacker however is an area where they could use an upgrade.

Chicago Bears: Melvin Ingram
Melvin is a very versatile defensive player out of the toughest division in the NCAA the SEC. It’s a bit of a different position putting Ingram to the Bears but they could use some youth at the defensive linemen position as Israel Idonije is a 31 year old free agent and Julius Peppers turns 32 in a couple of weeks.

Tennessee Titans: Cordy Glenn
Glenn who is a monster of a man might be considered a reach at this spot but considering he is versatile I wouldn’t be shocked if someone falls in love with his size/ and ability to move him around. The Titans could use some help out front to open up holes for Chris Johnson.

Cincinnati Bengals: Alfonzo Dennard
Dennard possibly would have been the pick at 17 but when Richardson fell it was to big of a talent to pass on. Lucky for the Bengals Alfonzo falls to Cincinnati 4 picks later.

Cleveland Browns from Atlanta: Alshon Jeffery
The Browns desperately need a play maker at wide receiver no matter if the first pick I gave them is Griffin or not they need to address the wideout position someone and early in the draft. Wright has been rumoured to possibly be ranked high than some of the other WR’s in this years draft class I like him here to par with his teammate from Baylor.

Detroit Lions: Mike Adams
The Lions have shocked me and the draft experts for years not selecting an offensive linemen in the first round. Now they have a strong core and outside of corner not a ton of needs beside the o-line.

Pittsburgh Steelers: Vontaze Burfict
Going to stick with Burfict to the Steelers though in the playoffs it was obvious the Steelers need an upgrade at corner as they made Tim Tebow look like lesser version of Tom Brady. And of course an offesensive linemen is always going to be a popular choice. Burfict’s talent though makes this pick of a pretty good value.

Denver Broncos: Dwayne Allen
The NFL has become a league where the tight end is a huge weapon and Allen is one of the 3 tight ends I really like in this draft. Allen will become Tim Tebow’s new best friend.

Houston Texans: Dontari Poe
Houston’s 2 biggest needs are corner and nose tackle. Poe can step in and be the next good big nose tackle in the NFL. Poe looks to be the top tackle in the draft now.

New England Patriots from New Orleans: Janoris Jenkins
I know what some readers will say 1 this is a bit late for Jenkins and 2 he isn’t the typical Patriot type selection. But my argument against that will be will his off the field issues make him drop in the draft some? And if they do to this extent the Patriots would be crazy to not take a look when they have plenty of a need at corner opposite McCourty.

Green Bay Packers: Jared Crick
A 3-4 de who is currently injured but with plenty of tape scouts will be able to evlaute if if he will fit their needs. The Pack don’t really have any needs but some defensive help couldn’t hurt could it?

Baltimore Ravens: Mark Baron
If I’m going off the Wes Bunting big board Baron is the 2nd best player remaining behind Peter Konz who I just couldn’t find a good spot for in this mock so far. Baron would be able to learn for a few years behind one of the best safeties in the league and then be able to step into one of the better defensive units once he retires or starts to slow down.

San Francisco 49ers: Stephen Gilmore
Gilmore would upgrade one of the positions San Fran could use.

New York Giants: Peter Konz
The Giants could use Konz who somehow I have falling in the draft and this isn’t because of him just couldn’t find a need like I said in the Baltimore write up Konz has middle of the first round talent. Peter is the top remaining talent left and fits a need for New York.

New England Patriots: Fletcher Cox
The Patriots don’t have to many needs and Cox could help provide some versatility with their fronts being a strong 3-4 DE and move inside if they wanted to shift a 4-3 pairing him with Vince Wilfork in that front would make it very tough to run against.

Sorry about yesterday for anyone who enjoy the write ups still not feeling great but better hoping to get all the games broken down.

Miami -12.5 @ Washington

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Boston -3.5 @ Toronto

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Atlanta @ Orlando -4.5

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Chicago -13 @ Charlotte

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Los Angeles Clippers @ Philadelphia -4

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Milwaukee -1 @ Cleveland

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New Jersey @ Detroit -2.5

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Indiana @ Memphis -1.5

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Dallas -2 @ Minnesota

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Portland @ New Orleans

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Los Angles Lakers -2.5 @ New York

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Oklahoma City -1 @ Utah

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Well good news is I’m feeling better and more good news is that I have finally decided to make the jump to a .com site so going to be fairly busy with that so wont have any plays until I have that up and running which at the current rate seems like its going to be forever of course I’m tired from just getting out of work and trying to do this the site will be sportingintellect.com if you have enjoyed the my blog here please follow me to my new site.

Anaheim +179 @ Detroit -195

Intro: Second seed Detroit hosts Anaheim who is currently 13th in the Western league. Both teams are 7-2-1 in the last 10. Detroit has owned the Ducks thus far this year winning the two games by a combined 7 goals. The Redwings are shooting for their 19th straight home win.

Systems: Detroit is favored by both systems which isn’t very surprising considering how much better statistically they are and at home.

Prediction: Detroit but price is to high for me to want to play.
Dallas +129 @ Buffalo -140

Intro: Both Dallas and Buffalo have had rough years with Dallas only in 9th in their conference while Buffalo is in 13th. Buffalo is riding a 2 game winning streak in the one meeting this season Dallas won 4-0.

Systems: Buffalo is favored by the neural network despite being behind statically in first period differential, goals against average, save percentage, shooting percentage and Face off %, all those stats carry a rather large weight in the math model which favors the Stars.

Prediction: Dallas but with Richard Bachman in net this is not a play.
Carolina +120 @ Colorado -130

Intro: Another look at two teams which have had less than ideal years with Carolina traveling West to Colorado. Carolina won 2-1 back on December thirds in the only other meeting on the year.

Systems: Colorado gets a slight edge in both systems.

Prediction: JSG has struggled when he’s faced Carolina hes 2-5-1 with a 3.28 GAA against them on his career. Given that I’m going to say Carolina pulls off the upset however not quiet enough for a play for me
Chicago +124 @ San Jose -134

Intro: Two middle of the pack teams who have been struggling as of late 3-5-2 (Chicago) visits 4-5-1 (San Jose) Chicago is currently winning the series to date as they have won the last two meetings with San Jose picking up the first win back in November.

Systems: Both pick San Jose to win this game.

Prediction: Though both model’s pick San Jose to win and I expect them to I don’t think its very cut and dry.

I’m not going to get to do the NBA write ups before I go to bed but here are tonight’s plays all are a single unit

Philadelphia -4 at home facing the Clippers.

Memphis -1.5 at home vs Indiana.

And Okc -1 traveling to Utah.

I will try to get the write ups down before I head out for bowling but if not you got the plays anyways. Good luck.

 

 

uhh

Not going to have any write ups today but here are the predictions for tonight’s games. No plays in the NBA on the 4 game card. The Houston/Phoenix game can move up to -4 or -4.5 I’ll take Houston for a unit its the nearest to a play.

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers  @ Boston -3.5

System: Boston by 20

Golden State  @ Denver -6

System: Denver by 26

Houston @ Phoenix -3

System: Houston by 3

Oklahoma City -6.5  @ Sacramento

System: Sacramento by 11

NHL

Just a 1 unit play on Toronto on the road both the Neural Net and math model suggest Toronto to pull off the upset and frankly I think it’s an overpriced game hopefully will be up for more detailed reports tomorrow. With two games with no lines I will try to tweet out if they are a play when I wake up and update when I see a price.

Dallas -108 @ Columbus +100

System: Dallas

St. Louis @ New Jersey

System: New Jersey

Winnipeg +157 @ Washington -171

System: Washington

Montreal +112 @ Ny Islanders -121

System: New York

Tampa Bay +174 @ Ny Rangers -190

System: New York

Toronto +141 @ Philadelphia -153

System: Toronto

Nashville -123 @ Ottawa +114

System: Ottawa

Los Angeles -118 @ Florida +109

System: Los Angeles

Vancouver -138 @ Minnesota +127

System: Minnesota

Calgary @ Phoenix

System: Calgary

Great start for NBA starting 4 of 5 on plays.

Los Angeles Clippers -5.5 @ Cleveland

Intro: The Clippers head to Cleveland on a roll ATS covering 5 of their last 7 and 6 out of 7 straight up. Cleveland lost last night in Miami now head home for a long home stretch.

System: Cleveland is predicted to cover with the Clippers still winning.

Prediction: The Clippers an edge in most statistical areas on that Cleveland does though is their bench’s scoring ability if Cleveland is able to cover or even win straight up the Cavs bench must come through in a big way as their starters won’t be able to match Los Angeles’s on most nights. At minus 5.5 I’m going to say the Clippers will cover but this is not a play either way.

Miami -3 @ Orlando

Intro: The big 3 head to Orlando to take on Dwight Howard and the Magic. The Heat are winners of their last 3  but have only covered 3 times in the last 10 games.

System: Miami has the value according to the NN as they are predicted to win by about 17. This of course is probably slightly higher but now is the time to lock in Miami as only 3 point favorites before it moves to 3.5-4 or possibly worse.

Prediction: This is going to be a 1 unit play on the Heat.

San Antonio @ Philadelphia -3

Intro: The Spurs trout into Philly riding a very hot streak both ATS and straight up winners of 5 in a row straight up and 6 in a row against the number the Spurs take on a 76ers team who just took down Kobe Bryant’s Lakers in a game I had a play on, on Monday. This should be a great matchup with two teams who statistically match up very well against each other.

System: San Antonio for the cover 76ers for the win with a predicted win margin of only 0.404.

Prediction: I think Philly will end the Spurs hot streak in what should be a close game I’d say they cover the 3 point spread but doubt it will be by much for this reason this is not a play.

New York @ Washington -1

Intro: I’m really confused by this one Washington has the second to worse record in Basketball only behind the Bobcats who can’t win a game. While new York isn’t exactly anything special they are 10-15 and winners of their last two.

System: The edge here goes to New York who is predicted to win by 5.

Prediction: The extra point in value isn’t all that helpful but hey they want to spot me a point I’ll take it for a unit.

Milwaukee -1.5 @ Toronto

Intro: Milwaukee is only 3-10 on the road and losers of their last 3 games yet favored to beat the Raptors by a point and a half. Toronto isn’t very impressive either so I guess it makes sense as the Raptors have lost 2 and a row and 6 of their last 10.

System: Toronto by 3 says the spreadsheet.

Prediction: Toronto but a no play not enough of an edge with the line currently at 1.5.

Indiana @ Atlanta -3.5

Intro: This is the 2nd really good game of the night which unlike the hockey games I actually like tonight’s NBA card these teams match up fairly well against each other and both are currently in second place in their respective divisions. The Hawks have dropped 3 in a row at home and face Indiana before starting a much tougher stretch in which they will see the likes of Miami, the Lakers, Portland and Chicago. The Hawks can’t afford to look past the Pacers who have been very good on the road covering in 4 of their last 5 on the road.

System: And the system says Indiana wins which frankly I see no reason why given that Atlanta holds the edge in almost every statistic the system uses expect pace which isn’t very far apart.

Prediction: I’m going to keep an eye on this one if it can go up a full point to 4.5 I’m going to jump on it for Indiana for a unit getting the number beyond four is to a point I’d see enough value to play on the Pacers.

Detroit @ New Jersey -4

Intro: Here’s a game that I don’t really care for as both teams are in the bottom half but obviously they need to have some of them with having a good size card the Nets have lost 3 in a row while the Pistons might be starting to turn it around and have won 2 in a row.

System: New Jersey by almost 12 full points says the NN.

Prediction: Usually I jump on value like this but given the streaks I’m going to hold off.

Chicago @ New Orleans

Intro: It sounds as if the MVP of the league Derek Rose will play tonight with no line currently available I’m not sure who has the value. However given how bad the Hornets are and good the Bulls are I’m expecting a spread about -11. The Bulls head to New Orleans winners of the last 3 games while the Hornets have dropped each of the last 6.

System: No matter the spread the NN predicts the Bulls to pull off the cover as they are predicted to win by 56 or so by the system.

Prediction: Again no spread my assumption is this wont be a play though.

Minnesota @ Memphis -7.5

Intro: Minnesota will be without Kevin Love as he sits due to his suspension this will be the last game he will miss for Saturday’s incident with Luis Scola. The Timberwolves have dropped 3 of the last 4 against the number while Memphis has lost 2 in a row against the spread which streak is going to end tonight?

System: Memphis is the team the Neural Net says will end its losing ways against the spread as they are predicted to win by 20.

Prediction: I don’t like playing games where I’m laying more than 5 points so this is an obvious no play I even think pretty good value on Minnesota who despite missing Love maybe able to hang in against a suddenly struggling Griz who have lost 7 of their last 9. So I’m going to play the T-Wolves for unit.

Dallas @ Denver

Intro: Speaking of a game where what streak will end both of the teams in this matchup have lost their 3 games.

System: Denver by 2.5 says the system.

Prediction: No line available I’d expect the spread to be somewhere close to the predicted score so likely wont have much value keep an eye on it and jump if you see value though. I’ll tweet out an update if I see some when I wake up you can follow me on twitter the username is futurestarz23.

Houston @ Portland -7.5

Intro: Portland is set to take on Houston who have Identical records as each other and even are the same way strong home teams and weak road teams. What this suggests is that Houston should have no chance in winning this game, but how about against the spread? Houston is 5 of their last 7 ATS on the road but outside of the Spurs twice I can’t say the level of competition was equal to that of Portland. The Trail Blazers have covered 4 of the last 5 at home and the only loss was a game they lost against the Thunder Monday.

System: Houston for the cover Portland for the win. The benches are pretty equal the effective shooting percentage favors the Rockets though not by a large amount and they net ratings are both positive though Portland holds the edge as they have a +6.5 compared to just +2 for Houston.

Prediction: Unless this climbs to +8 I’m going to stay off it just may happened as currently according to the SBR odds tool approximately 56% of people are taking Portland minus the points.

Well despite a good start in the NBA the NHL’s neural network has been really struggling. No plays tonight.

Boston -144 @ Buffalo +133

Intro: 2nd seed in the Eastern Conference takes on 2nd to last place team in the same conference as Boston heads to Buffalo. Of course being one of the elite teams in the NHL Boston has a very good record on the road as well as home so heading to Buffalo who isn’t exactly a scaring many visiting teams. Both teams are on one game winning streaks.

Systems: The NN actually picked Buffalo to win this one and the Math model of course picked the Bruins who are statistically dominant.

Prediction: Boston wins.

Edmonton +206 @ Detroit -226

Intro: The second bottom feeder vs top team of the night will see Edmonton who is 5-4-1 in their last 10 travel to Detroit where they are riding a 17 game winning streak.

Systems: Interestingly enough the Neural net actually picked Edmonton to win this game I’ve understood most selections the past 2 days but this is the second head scratcher. The other system picked Detroit by a large margin.

Prediction: Detroit keeps it streak going.

Carolina +134 @ Anaheim -145

Intro: Here we go a match up which sees two struggling teams yippy. I’m so excited. I clearly don’t care for tonight’s card very much but Anaheim has been hot as of late going 7-2-1 but the visiting Hurricane’s are doing pretty well themselves as they are on a two game winning streak.

Systems: Finally a game I can at least wrap my head around the both systems predicts a Hurricane win on the road.

Prediction: I could see Carolina pulling off the upset but I’m staying away from all the games tonight.

Calgary +165 @ San Jose -180

Intro: Here we go a clean sweep of uninteresting games as #3 seed San Jose who lost last time on the ice hosts Calgary who is 5-3-2 in their last 10.

Systems: Both systems point to San Jose holding true to the Vegas odds.

Prediction: San Jose.

These are going to be pretty quick today and going to have to update some of the games when I wake up as I was having computer problems this morning and have to hit the sack here shortly

Minnesota -120 @ Columbus +111

Intro: Minnesota heads to the last place Columbus Blue Jackets. Neither are on a great roll Minnesota is 4-4-2 and Columbus is 3-6-1. 8 of Columbus’s 14 wins have come at home.

Systems: Both systems point towards the Wild winning.

Prediction: A one unit play on Minnesota.

New York Islanders +159 @ Philadelphia -173

Intro: Philadelphia who is currently 4th in the Eastern conference hosts the Islanders of New York where they will look to revenge their 4-1 loss from Mid January. The Islanders are currently riding the hot hand winners of going 6-2-2.

Systems: Again both systems favor one team and that is Philadelphia.

Prediction: No unit play but I’d predict the Flyers given the hot streak by the Islanders though I think you are getting some decent value by taking them.

New Jersey +147 @ New York Rangers -160

Intro: Both teams are playing very good as of late well the Rangers have been all year as they are currently in first place in the East. New Jersey is riding a 4 game winning streak while the Rangers have a solid 2 game streak of their own. This matchup will be a tie breaker as they have split the series this year but this time the game will be in the Big Apple.

Systems: No surprise both the Neural Network and Math model favor the Rangers who are home and statistically the better team.

Prediction: The odds are out of my range so this wont be a play but look for the Rangers to win ending the Devils run.

Florida +146 @ Washington -158

Intro: Both teams are pretty average as of late and Florida currently sits above Washington in the standings currently sitting in the 3rd spot just behind the Bruins. Washington however has one of the best home ice records in the NHL going 18-7-1.

Systems: I was shocked to see Washington favored by the math model but looking at their statistics I guess I should be more surprised that Florida is the 3rd place team. I did expect the NN to predict the Capitals.

Prediction: I agree with both models but as of late Florida seems to have Washington’s number winners of 2 of the 3 matchups this season both of which were the 2 recent meetings but both of those were in Florida.

Pittsburgh -130 @ Montreal +120

Intro: Pittsburgh is red hot as of late winning 8 of the last 10, and have won all 3 matchups this season. the Canadians have lost all the of those games by a total of 4 goals though so they have to think they can hang with the Penguins.

Systems: Another game where both systems agree with Vegas suggesting the Penguins should be the favorites.

Prediction: A no play little to pricey I do expect Pitt to win but I’d like this to be -125 or better.

Los Angeles +101 @ Tampa Bay -109

Intro: Tampa Bay has allowed the second most goals in the NHL luckily for them they host the Kings and their NHL lowest scoring offense. Tampa would actually have a solid team if they could find a way to win away from home.

Systems: The both systems predict the Kings pull off the upset they come to this outcome because of key edges in face off percentage, 1st period differential, goals against average and Power play ability.

Prediction: While I could see the Los Angeles pulling off the upset my prediction is Tampa is much stronger at home and will win this game. No play on this one though.

St. Louis -117 @ Ottawa +108

Intro: Both teams will be looking to win a game as they both last their last time on the ice. St. Louis however has had a pretty rough time winning away from home going 8-11-3. Ottawa is just 3-6-1 in their last ten games.

Systems: The basic math model predicts the Blues to win thanks to a huge difference in first period differential and goals against average however the neural network gives a large edge to Ottawa this is likely due to some key upsets in the data.

Prediction: I’m actually going to go with the upset pick but the price is not enough even though it has gone up to +115 at Pinnacle.

Vancouver +109 @ Nashville -118

Intro: This is an example where you have to watch lines and look for the right price Vancouver when I typed out the template was at +109 now sits as a favorite of -115. That’s a pretty large line movement. Given that only 2 spots separate these two teams in the Western conference. Both teams are working on a 1 game winning streak but Nashville is on the hotter streak winners of 8 of the last 10.

Systems: The math model and NN again have a disagreement with the math model predicting a large margin in favor of the Canucks the Neural Network gives slightly more than a goal edge to the Predators.

Prediction: If i was making my prediction at the initial line I’d lay two units on Vancouver but with the current line its a no play with the value going towards Nashville who has won 8 of their last 10 home games.

Toronto -101 @ Winnipeg -107

Intro: Winnipeg like most teams have a solid record at home but even have struggled their as of late losers of 3 of their last four home games. The Jets return from a long road trip for one night then head to Washington to start another. Toronto is riding a 3 game winning streak and are 6-3-1 in the last 10 games.

Systems: The math model favors Toronto but this is in large part to a massive first period differential as the Maple Leafs have a +/- of 17 goals in the first period compared to the Jets +1 goal. The NN gives the edge to Winnipeg at first I thought it was because of Toronto being on the ice for the second night in a row but ran removing that part and still favors the Jets.

Prediction: If Toronto wasn’t on the back end of a back to back than I’d consider taking the Maple Leafs considering the line movement money seems to be coming in pretty strongly for Winnipeg.

Phoenix +133 @ Dallas -144

Intro: This game will help separate the 9 and 10 seeds in the West. Both teams have been pretty average in the last ten games.

Systems: Dallas will win says both systems.

Prediction: I’d have to agree and say the Stars should win this one I think the odds are about right so no play.

Chicago -129 @ Colorado +119

Intro: Chicago looks to turn their fortune around when they head to Colorado tonight as they have lost the last 2 games.

Systems: Both say the Blackhawks walk away victorious.

Prediction: Blackhawks for a no play.

Utah @ Indiana -9

Intro: Indiana has had a nice turn around this season despite making the playoffs last season they did so as the only sub .500 team.

System: The Neural Network gives a 3 point edge to Indiana.

Prediction: After losing by 11 last night I’m going to give another unit to Utah.

Cleveland @ Miami -13.5

Intro: Well these two had the big matchups last year. When James left darted out Cleveland he left them with next to nothing luckily for them they got Kyrie Irving who as a rookie has brought some hope back he currently leads the team in points, assists and field goal percentage. Well Cleveland has some hope for the future they are still a long ways away on the other hand you have Miami who currently has the second best win percentage in the East only bested by Chicago.

System: Miami is given a 23 point edge but given the -13.5 spread this is wont be a play.

Prediction: I expect Miami to win and wouldn’t be shocked if they covered.

Charlotte @ Boston -14

Intro: Boston has really turned it around winning 4 in a row they are now on the right side of .500. Charlotte is in the bottom of the league and has lost 11 games in a row. On the road though they are a little better against the number 5-9.

System: Another huge predictive margin this game huge 66 points.

Prediction: Looks like I’m very far away I hope next week when I rerun the network that this will get solved. Just like the Miami game straight up I expect Boston to win but this one I expect Charlotte to cover.

Sacramento @ Minnesota -6.5

Intro: Minnesota right now in the middle of the pack with a 12-12 record and are winners of their last two games. The host the Kings who are on a 3 game winning streak behind their three talented youngsters DeMarcus Cousins, Tyreke Evens and Jimmer Fredette. While most of the work is on the first two who currently lead the team in almost every statistical category Jimmer gives the Kings an outside presence that cannot be ignored and makes his shots from the FT line at a solid clip 88%.

System: Minnesota with a deeper bench and a more effective shooting percentage and a positive team rating (1.8 opposed to -11) have a large predicted margin.

Prediction: The extra half a point tops my limit for the game. I’d still expect Minnesota to cover but is little more than I want to lay.

Phoenix @ Milwaukee -7.5

Intro: Phoenix takes a two game winning streak to Milwaukee after beating Atlanta by 9 last night the Suns are 7.5 underdogs tonight. They do so being pretty cold ats only covering 3 of their last 9. The Bucks led by their leading scoring point guard Brandon Jennings come into tonight’s action on a two game losing and cover streak.

System: Milwaukee has only a point and a half edge according to the system. Of course this is 6 points of predicted value so check out the prediction to see what I think in terms of plays.

Prediction: I’m going to give this game a two unit play. Phoenix has been playing better as of late has a deeper bench, and though its close a more effective shooting percentage.

Oklahoma City -2 @ Golden State

Intro: The Thunder went into Portland last night and won and are now 10-4 on the road straight up and 8-6 against the spread when they travel away from Oklahoma City. The Warriors are aren’t even .500 at home straight up or against the spread and yet Okc is only laying two points?

System: Interestingly the system grades this out as about right and even a slight edge against the number to Golden State as the Thunder only have a predicted edge of under half a point.

Prediction: I think we see the Thunder win and cover the 2 point spread but this isn’t a play.

Because I’m sure people who randomly come to the blog aren’t sure what the spreadsheet means I’m going to go to have little breakdown on each.

Edmonton +151 @ Toronto -164

Intro: Edmonton comes into Toronto riding a 3 game winning streak. The teams have identical records in the last 10, both 5-4-1. Toronto comes in with the better record currently sitting in the 8th position in the Eastern conference at 27-19-6, while the Oilers are 13th in the West 21-26-5.

Systems: The basic math model shows a slight advantage to Toronto with the main reason being a better first period differential and slight edges in other statistics including Pp Kill, Shooting % and goals per a game where they hold almost .75 goals per game edge over the visiting team. The newest Neural Network is complete and gives the edge to the Oilers. Looking at everything the Network must take the last ten, a slightly better FO%, a better GAA and a stronger Power Play offense by Edmonton and see that of the training teams fit that criteria came out on top more often than not.

Prediction:Edmonton has been very bad on the road only collecting 6 wins so far this season. That is the main reason I’d predict that Toronto wins. At -164 though this is not a play.

Detroit -135 @ Phoenix +125

Intro: Detroit to no surprise will visit the Coyotes with the most points (72) in the NHL. Phoenix has been struggling as of late going 3-4-3 which of course is completely opposite of the visiting Redwings who have been hot all season, road or home it hasn’t much mattered. Detroit has a better record on the road 15-14-1 than Phoenix does at home 11-10-4.

Systems: The Neural Network gives just above a 1/2 point edge to the home team. Detroit is a very slightly favored by the Math Model.

Prediction: Not exactly a bold prediction here but the Redwings are the pick but again a no play unless the price drops to -125 or better over night which I see no reason why it would.

Calgary +115 @ Anaheim -125

Intro: Both teams have been pretty hot as of late 6-2-2 for the home Ducks and 6-3-1 for the visiting Flames. Seven points seperate the two teams with Calgary ahead. Anaheim is a fairly average team at home 13-13-2 and Calgary isn’t very good when traveling 10-14-2.

Systems: Calgary is a heavy favorite by the NN with almost a 5 goal predicted differential. This margin is in large part because of a 8 goal higher first period differential, a better Goals against average, and the slightest edge in Power play %. While the Ducks hold a very slight edge thanks to a better pentalty kill, shooting %, face off % and goals per a game.

Prediction: Given how large of an edge the NN gives Calgary and close the math model is I’m going to make a 1 unit play on Calgary.

The first NBA predictions will be released shortly.